Clay Shirky's Keynote at CfA Summit 2013

編輯歷史

時間	作者	版本
2015-05-07 20:07 – 20:08	Chen Shin Liang	r938 – r940
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2014-02-27 21:29 – 21:31	venev	r899 – r937
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2014-02-19 15:07 – 15:07	煒晧林	r884 – r898
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2014-02-19 14:05 – 14:06	ipa chiu	r876 – r883
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2014-02-19 09:16 – 09:42	venev	r760 – r875
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2014-02-09 15:52 – 15:53	Chia-liang Kao	r740 – r759
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2014-02-08 14:30 – 15:34	venev	r186 – r739
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2014-02-04 06:32 – 06:42	venev	r42 – r185
顯示 diff - Untitled + Clay Shirky's Keynote at CfA Summit 2013 via TAHR-PAS: 零時政府的第一年總結與展望:"作家 Clay Shirky 在 CfA Summit 會議致詞時說：「黑客松的主要產物，並不是會動的程式，而是參與者之間發展出的人際關係。」" + Youtube 影片 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXQb-yhqktQ + 字幕轉檔：Youtube + Google2srt ，可能會有小錯字，歡迎邊聽邊校對 + 共 428 句，請簽名認領，並同意以 "CC-By 4.0 g0v.tw contributors" 授權：venev (先 1~7 + )1 + 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:06,060 + I ank you all a.t is - Youtube 影片 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXQb-yhqktQ - g + 2謝謝大家 + 00:00:06,059 --> 00:00:10,308 + a pleasure to be here w.e + 很高興能站在這裡 + start with a + l ttle bit of history + + + 我們先從一點歷史談起吧3 + 00:00:10,308 --> 00:00:15,218 + %ah I think we'll set some other some + the tone for + + 4 + 00:00:15,218 --> 00:00:18,509 + the changes I'm seeing how so in the + early nineteen + + 5 + 00:00:18,510 --> 00:00:23,250 + are in the late 1990s rather guy named + Larry Sanger who was in a pistol marge + + 6 + 00:00:23,250 --> 00:00:27,089 + is somebody who specialized in the study + of how we justify believe + + 7 + 00:00:27,089 --> 00:00:31,719 + locked out he got one of the few open + positions available for a piss tomorrow + + 8 + 00:00:31,719 --> 00:00:32,269 + just + + 9 + 00:00:32,270 --> 00:00:37,219 + he was hired to help develop a new + encyclopedia is called new PDA and you + + 10 + 00:00:37,219 --> 00:00:40,550 + and there was a lot of this in the air + at the time right there were other + + 11 + 00:00:40,549 --> 00:00:44,738 + encyclopedia projects going on with + names like everything to an age to g2 + + 12 + 00:00:44,738 --> 00:00:48,948 + a new PT was going to be another these + online encyclopedia projects + + 13 + 00:00:48,948 --> 00:00:52,448 + anything to characterize new PT it was + that they were going to recruit experts + + 14 + 00:00:52,448 --> 00:00:55,530 + to write the articles and they're gonna + build rigorous process + + 15 + 00:00:55,530 --> 00:01:00,480 + for developing and certifying investing + in fact checking the articles + + 16 + 00:01:00,479 --> 00:01:03,669 + before they got published so they don't + they designed this process + + 17 + 00:01:03,670 --> 00:01:08,930 + they recruit these expert they get going + but they don't get going very far + + 18 + 00:01:08,930 --> 00:01:13,200 + about nine months into new PT they have + created something like + + 19 + 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:16,920 + a dozen particles right so the patient + death + + 20 + 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:21,840 + not faxed and they're funded like a + startup so they don't have a huge amount + + 21 + 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,250 + of money in Sanger can see the writing + on the wall + + 22 + 00:01:24,250 --> 00:01:27,390 + we go to the guy they hired Jimmy Wales + + 23 + 00:01:27,390 --> 00:01:32,299 + and he said this new PT thing isn't + working we've gotta try something else + + 24 + 00:01:32,299 --> 00:01:36,939 + Ward Cunningham has this thing called + wiki that kinda collaborative editing + + 25 + 00:01:36,939 --> 00:01:37,649 + site + + 26 + 00:01:37,650 --> 00:01:42,600 + why don't we try we keys as a way of + just getting this going will jump-start + + 27 + 00:01:42,599 --> 00:01:43,769 + the creation Mart + + 28 + 00:01:43,769 --> 00:01:47,649 + so skiing no other alternative they put + up a wiki + + 29 + 00:01:47,650 --> 00:01:51,130 + sanger recruit some people to write some + stub + + 30 + 00:01:51,129 --> 00:01:54,560 + articles and of course as Wikipedia born + in the rest is + + 31 + 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:58,079 + history right within months Wikipedia + had + + 32 + 00:01:58,079 --> 00:02:02,280 + generated far more articles the new PA + had in its entire + + 33 + 00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:05,359 + highly plan life in by the end of that + year + + 34 + 00:02:05,359 --> 00:02:08,848 + new PT it shut down with PPT was off to + the races + + 35 + 00:02:08,848 --> 00:02:13,869 + so hold that thought even + + 36 + 00:02:13,870 --> 00:02:17,539 + August this year in New York where I + live + + 37 + 00:02:17,539 --> 00:02:20,679 + I a gunny Patrick McConnell lock + + 38 + 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,930 + who was a 23-year-old who works at a + + 39 + 00:02:23,930 --> 00:02:28,170 + company called kick-ass capital in New + York walking + + 40 + 00:02:28,169 --> 00:02:32,589 + back and forth between home and work as + one does he saw a lot of homes people + + 41 + 00:02:32,590 --> 00:02:36,950 + as one does but there was one guy that + stood out to him he said with that guy + + 42 + 00:02:36,949 --> 00:02:40,649 + he doesn't seem completely distracted he + doesn't seem + + 43 + 00:02:40,650 --> 00:02:45,310 + completely decimated by situation and + cola put up + + 44 + 00:02:45,310 --> 00:02:50,990 + a post about this observation is about + this home and the title of the post was + + 45 + 00:02:50,990 --> 00:02:55,900 + finding the unjustly homeless and + teaching them to code + + 46 + 00:02:55,900 --> 00:03:01,180 + and a common strategy was to go to this + guy and say oh either come back come + + 47 + 00:03:01,180 --> 00:03:03,150 + back tomorrow either give you 100 bucks + + 48 + 00:03:03,150 --> 00:03:07,099 + I'm going to bring three books about + JavaScript and a laptop + + 49 + 00:03:07,099 --> 00:03:13,620 + you can the Laughing began almost + immediately when this post went up in a + + 50 + 00:03:13,620 --> 00:03:14,319 + wimp + + 51 + 00:03:14,318 --> 00:03:17,000 + one in that vein right for them all the + information that there was such a thing + + 52 + 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:18,580 + as the unjustly homers + + 53 + 00:03:18,580 --> 00:03:21,940 + and you could sort those people out from + the justly homeless I + + 54 + 00:03:21,939 --> 00:03:26,870 + he went on to meet a whole plan for the + skies like without bothering to learn + + 55 + 00:03:26,870 --> 00:03:30,780 + his name in the first post he called him + the journeyman hacker + + 56 + 00:03:30,780 --> 00:03:34,318 + right and the Internet as it does + + 57 + 00:03:34,318 --> 00:03:38,939 + exploded right the criticism was + widespread an instantaneous + + 58 + 00:03:38,939 --> 00:03:42,349 + and the details just kept adding + + 59 + 00:03:42,349 --> 00:03:46,709 + up macaan logs CrunchBase profile first + ball he has a CrunchBase profile + + 60 + 00:03:46,709 --> 00:03:49,840 + work on much CrunchBase profile his him + standing + + 61 + 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:52,879 + on a boat behind the captain's wheel + + 62 + 00:03:52,879 --> 00:03:57,959 + holding a Paul Boyd by got done I + mention the Macondo with what you + + 63 + 00:03:57,959 --> 00:04:01,539 + probably could figure that out by now + and that Leo + + 64 + 00:04:01,539 --> 00:04:05,250 + turned out to be the homeless guy's name + leah was black you could probably have + + 65 + 00:04:05,250 --> 00:04:06,318 + guessed it actually + + 66 + 00:04:06,318 --> 00:04:11,539 + just goes on and on to get interested in + this and I started reading the criticism + + 67 + 00:04:11,539 --> 00:04:16,259 + and it was widespread it was the + luminous + + 68 + 00:04:16,259 --> 00:04:19,489 + and I came across a piece by marine + Malone in + + 69 + 00:04:19,488 --> 00:04:22,549 + I in the new republic + + 70 + 00:04:22,550 --> 00:04:28,100 + and Malone said that don't bother me + with the factual limitations styled + + 71 + 00:04:28,100 --> 00:04:29,480 + dreaming + + 72 + 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:33,790 + can be useful for startups was not so + useful for thinking about social + + 73 + 00:04:33,790 --> 00:04:35,870 + problems + + 74 + 00:04:35,870 --> 00:04:39,600 + another friend brought me up short + because that didn't sound right + + 75 + 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:44,070 + is it right it can't be the case that if + you're thinking about social problems + + 76 + 00:04:44,069 --> 00:04:45,719 + you have to accept + + 77 + 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:49,220 + that all existing constraints are + removable + + 78 + 00:04:49,220 --> 00:04:53,780 + that doesn't sound like problem solving + that sounds like capitulation + + 79 + 00:04:53,779 --> 00:04:58,500 + so then I went back and I started + reading the criticism again but now with + + 80 + 00:04:58,500 --> 00:04:59,120 + the new + + 81 + 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:03,459 + I towards this end I've is this a + problem we can move or not + + 82 + 00:05:03,459 --> 00:05:07,698 + I started reading the comments as well + the comment on these articles + + 83 + 00:05:07,699 --> 00:05:12,080 + to get all over the map is comments are + so many people in the comment to let the + + 84 + 00:05:12,079 --> 00:05:16,029 + guys trying to do something it obviously + ham-handed cringe-worthy even but at + + 85 + 00:05:16,029 --> 00:05:17,659 + least he's doing something + + 86 + 00:05:17,660 --> 00:05:21,260 + cut him some slack but there was another + group + + 87 + 00:05:21,259 --> 00:05:24,829 + in the comment that was unbelievably + harsh + + 88 + 00:05:24,829 --> 00:05:29,819 + but they weren't being harsh to macomb + they were being harsh about Lee + + 89 + 00:05:29,819 --> 00:05:33,159 + track there were people in the company + never laid eyes on the sky in their + + 90 + 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:34,090 + lives + + 91 + 00:05:34,089 --> 00:05:38,129 + who are willing to take these obviously + an alcoholic he must be addicted to + + 92 + 00:05:38,129 --> 00:05:38,730 + drugs + + 93 + 00:05:38,730 --> 00:05:44,250 + he's probably a feat the people who + would the harshest + + 94 + 00:05:44,250 --> 00:05:48,649 + to the homeless guy that everyone was + talking about + + 95 + 00:05:48,649 --> 00:05:51,909 + with the people who assume that + McConnell I was going to fail it became + + 96 + 00:05:51,910 --> 00:05:54,860 + clear in a way that they wanted him to + fail + + 97 + 00:05:54,860 --> 00:05:59,430 + that whatever else he done he defended + their sense that homelessness + + 98 + 00:05:59,430 --> 00:06:02,680 + was an intractable problem + + 99 + 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:06,189 + and I realized I've been reading the + criticism wrong I've been reading the + + 100 + 00:06:06,189 --> 00:06:08,500 + criticism saying + + 101 + 00:06:08,500 --> 00:06:12,040 + I agree with this and I don't agree with + that this one seems right that one seems + + 102 + 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:12,590 + wrong + + 103 + 00:06:12,589 --> 00:06:16,399 + but that wasn't what mattered about the + criticism + + 104 + 00:06:16,399 --> 00:06:20,168 + what mattered about the criticism wise + is it helping + + 105 + 00:06:20,168 --> 00:06:23,609 + or not so many places + + 106 + 00:06:23,610 --> 00:06:27,229 + rota wrote a very thoughtful piece + criticizing work on Logan is idea if + + 107 + 00:06:27,228 --> 00:06:30,779 + I've saving homes left homeless by + teaching JavaScript + + 108 + 00:06:30,779 --> 00:06:34,359 + they should look we know the problem + homelessness + + 109 + 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,970 + we know the problem the home said they + were lack homes + + 110 + 00:06:37,970 --> 00:06:42,190 + right you solve that problem with + housing first if you don't do that + + 111 + 00:06:42,189 --> 00:06:47,339 + nothing else woman you can have a + lottery actions that you could say + + 112 + 00:06:47,339 --> 00:06:50,099 + that interesting I didn't know about + that research I'm gonna change what I'm + + 113 + 00:06:50,100 --> 00:06:50,919 + doing + + 114 + 00:06:50,918 --> 00:06:54,740 + you could say I think in New York City + it's different I think for some classes + + 115 + 00:06:54,740 --> 00:06:57,519 + of homeless people are some situations + it's different + + 116 + 00:06:57,519 --> 00:07:02,430 + but almost any reaction you could have + to a glaze uses past + + 117 + 00:07:02,430 --> 00:07:06,150 + would make you smart thats + + 118 + 00:07:06,149 --> 00:07:11,429 + helpful critics helpful criticism said I + see what you're trying to do their + + 119 + 00:07:11,430 --> 00:07:15,509 + I don't think it's going to work becom + stand where I am + + 120 + 00:07:15,509 --> 00:07:20,520 + let me show you what the world looks + like from my point of view + + 121 + 00:07:20,519 --> 00:07:23,639 + and then there was other criticism again + Hall use + + 122 + 00:07:23,639 --> 00:07:28,990 + as harsh as the Glade as skeptical as a + glade with very different %uh + + 123 + 00:07:28,990 --> 00:07:32,030 + the tone of this criticism was corrosive + it didn't say + + 124 + 00:07:32,029 --> 00:07:36,508 + come stand where I it said stop + + 125 + 00:07:36,509 --> 00:07:39,790 + just stop what you're doing it didn't + say + + 126 + 00:07:39,790 --> 00:07:43,729 + take a different tack at the problem it + said go + + 127 + 00:07:43,728 --> 00:07:47,779 + a wet corrosive criticism + + 128 + 00:07:47,779 --> 00:07:51,689 + is is addressed to + + 129 + 00:07:51,689 --> 00:07:55,719 + the person solving the problem not the + problem its + + 130 + 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:58,720 + to view listing too helpful criticism + it's not like it's all + + 131 + 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:01,750 + happy in shining right much helpful + criticism + + 132 + 00:08:01,750 --> 00:08:04,990 + is tremendously harsh in responding to + his painful + + 133 + 00:08:04,990 --> 00:08:09,129 + but the real question is does responding + to it make you smarter + + 134 + 00:08:09,129 --> 00:08:12,529 + corrosive criticism is not like that + corrosive criticisms almost by + + 135 + 00:08:12,529 --> 00:08:13,719 + definition + + 136 + 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:18,539 + designed not to make you smarter about + the prop + + 137 + 00:08:18,538 --> 00:08:23,610 + and fleeing seeing this tension between + these two kinds of criticism mccormack I + + 138 + 00:08:23,610 --> 00:08:24,569 + dot + + 139 + 00:08:24,569 --> 00:08:28,800 + there's no easy way to characterize + + 140 + 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:32,038 + what mcconnell August trying to do with + to + + 141 + 00:08:32,038 --> 00:08:35,348 + for Leo the homeless guy + + 142 + 00:08:35,349 --> 00:08:37,769 + there some parts but they're good + they're some parts but they're bad + + 143 + 00:08:37,769 --> 00:08:39,389 + there's no simple + + 144 + 00:08:39,389 --> 00:08:44,360 + solution there's no point of view you + can adopt that clarifies everything + + 145 + 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:48,769 + and I thought I recognize this this is + the sorting out time + + 146 + 00:08:48,769 --> 00:08:52,499 + I'm live to the sorting out time for two + other things one + + 147 + 00:08:52,499 --> 00:08:56,199 + questions of general utility of the web + and the other is + + 148 + 00:08:56,198 --> 00:09:00,448 + the possibility that social media will + work in matter and spread + + 149 + 00:09:00,448 --> 00:09:03,818 + any generally goes like this: some new + tool comes along + + 150 + 00:09:03,818 --> 00:09:07,588 + and people look at think I can't do new + things with + + 151 + 00:09:07,589 --> 00:09:11,300 + right any new technology makes new + things possible + + 152 + 00:09:11,299 --> 00:09:14,889 + battle that's what it does it certainly + doesn't make new thing possible to + + 153 + 00:09:14,889 --> 00:09:17,459 + either not new or it's not a technology + + 154 + 00:09:17,458 --> 00:09:20,659 + when you get a new technology you don't + know how to use it so you go around + + 155 + 00:09:20,659 --> 00:09:23,328 + looking for places where it might fit + + 156 + 00:09:23,328 --> 00:09:27,578 + this is often criticized as all that + tool in search of a problem + + 157 + 00:09:27,578 --> 00:09:31,558 + but courses when we got hold of the web + in the early nineties nothing in the + + 158 + 00:09:31,558 --> 00:09:34,639 + world look like the web so we had to say + does it fit here + + 159 + 00:09:34,639 --> 00:09:38,339 + does it fit their but selling plane + tickets didn't look like the web selling + + 160 + 00:09:38,339 --> 00:09:40,470 + books didn't look like the web search + engines + + 161 + 00:09:40,470 --> 00:09:43,600 + hadn't even been thawed out yet + + 162 + 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:47,860 + and the reaction that stuff in the + beginning is well that won't work + + 163 + 00:09:47,860 --> 00:09:51,089 + when it starts to work then react as + well that won't last + + 164 + 00:09:51,089 --> 00:09:54,420 + and then it starts the locked and the + reactors levels K + + 165 + 00:09:54,419 --> 00:09:57,789 + and then its banks but and then you get + to the sorting out time + + 166 + 00:09:57,789 --> 00:10:01,448 + then you get to the point where + everybody realizes this stuff + + 167 + 00:10:01,448 --> 00:10:04,998 + is actually embedded in what's possible + in the world + + 168 + 00:10:04,999 --> 00:10:08,300 + it happen with the web it happen with + social media + + 169 + 00:10:08,299 --> 00:10:12,349 + reading this thing with work on login + Leo I think it's happening now + + 170 + 00:10:12,350 --> 00:10:16,420 + with the idea Civic Media I think we're + past the point + + 171 + 00:10:16,419 --> 00:10:21,399 + with the easy the easy ideas in the easy + answers what characterizes the debate it + + 172 + 00:10:21,399 --> 00:10:23,909 + isn't just about finding potholes + anymore + + 173 + 00:10:23,909 --> 00:10:27,178 + right isn't just about adopting fire hot + right + + 174 + 00:10:27,178 --> 00:10:30,578 + we're stretching into the party the + system where + + 175 + 00:10:30,578 --> 00:10:33,738 + were actually having to figure out what + fits wear + + 176 + 00:10:33,739 --> 00:10:38,329 + why and that's why sorting out the + difference between helpful + + 177 + 00:10:38,328 --> 00:10:43,088 + and corrosive criticism matter so much + + 178 + 00:10:43,089 --> 00:10:47,069 + have to listen to the helpful critics + even if they're mean even if their harsh + + 179 + 00:10:47,068 --> 00:10:50,409 + even if they're angry because responding + to them + + 180 + 00:10:50,409 --> 00:10:55,938 + will make you smarter you can't afford + to listen to the corrosive critics + + 181 + 00:10:55,938 --> 00:10:59,519 + not because they're wrong they're almost + always right + + 182 + 00:10:59,519 --> 00:11:04,499 + if you wanna feel like a genius go find + some place for people trying to do + + 183 + 00:11:04,499 --> 00:11:05,509 + something new + + 184 + 00:11:05,509 --> 00:11:08,959 + and tell them that they'll fail you'll + be right + + 185 + 00:11:08,958 --> 00:11:12,118 + nine times that attack 19 times out of + 20 + + 186 + 00:11:12,119 --> 00:11:15,778 + you don't even have to understand the + problem they're working on the algorithm + + 187 + 00:11:15,778 --> 00:11:17,308 + is very simple + + 188 + 00:11:17,308 --> 00:11:21,379 + while one predict failure + + 189 + 00:11:21,379 --> 00:11:27,379 + you get it right most of the time it to + cheap I + + 190 + 00:11:27,379 --> 00:11:31,209 + but the thing the corrosive critics want + you to believe + + 191 + 00:11:31,208 --> 00:11:35,039 + is that the sentence almost nothing will + work + + 192 + 00:11:35,039 --> 00:11:39,318 + which is obviously true is the same as + the sentence + + 193 + 00:11:39,318 --> 00:11:42,789 + nothing will work which is completely + false + + 194 + 00:11:42,789 --> 00:11:46,868 + every success in human history is passed + to the eye that needle + + 195 + 00:11:46,869 --> 00:11:50,800 + every success in human history has + threaded its way past + + 196 + 00:11:50,799 --> 00:11:54,159 + almost nothing will work atter + + 197 + 00:11:54,159 --> 00:11:57,759 + understand where you + + 198 + 00:11:57,759 --> 00:12:01,558 + or in trying to take on a problem solved + + 199 + 00:12:01,558 --> 00:12:05,448 + you have to figure out what it is you're + committing yourself to + + 200 + 00:12:05,448 --> 00:12:09,938 + what kinda resources your marshalling + and where you fit + + 201 + 00:12:09,938 --> 00:12:13,828 + how you're taking on the problem and how + the problems + + 202 + 00:12:13,828 --> 00:12:17,188 + the easiest problems to take on the + great problems are just + + 203 + 00:12:17,188 --> 00:12:21,238 + technical probs right their problems + where you just don't have the + + 204 + 00:12:21,239 --> 00:12:22,439 + information you need + + 205 + 00:12:22,438 --> 00:12:26,360 + to solve the problem and if you got it + if you working on something where you + + 206 + 00:12:26,360 --> 00:12:27,928 + just need more information + + 207 + 00:12:27,928 --> 00:12:31,338 + and you're working with digital tools + this is paradise right + + 208 + 00:12:31,339 --> 00:12:35,989 + it's no accident that the poster child + for this kind of work in the last decade + + 209 + 00:12:35,989 --> 00:12:41,528 + was possible fix because there is no pro + pothole lobby you have to go up against + + 210 + 00:12:41,528 --> 00:12:46,448 + right maybe the mayor's brother in law + and an asphalt plant on it a little more + + 211 + 00:12:46,448 --> 00:12:49,238 + expensive than you like to fix the + potholes + + 212 + 00:12:49,239 --> 00:12:53,239 + but really the problem is just + information if I can identify where the + + 213 + 00:12:53,239 --> 00:12:54,199 + potholes or + + 214 + 00:12:54,198 --> 00:12:57,828 + I can do a better job in this is great + potholes are a problem + + 215 + 00:12:57,828 --> 00:13:01,159 + problems have solutions best + + 216 + 00:13:01,159 --> 00:13:05,988 + best of all possible worlds if you're + working on a technical problem + + 217 + 00:13:05,989 --> 00:13:10,569 + you can make rapid progress without a + lot of political issues + + 218 + 00:13:10,568 --> 00:13:13,669 + one up from the technical problems for + the managerial problem managerial + + 219 + 00:13:13,669 --> 00:13:16,628 + problems where there's a tension between + + 220 + 00:13:16,629 --> 00:13:19,949 + the government and what the government + is trying to do + + 221 + 00:13:19,948 --> 00:13:23,878 + and the citizens in with the citizens + are trying to do near very often you + + 222 + 00:13:23,879 --> 00:13:27,149 + have to negotiate things in a more + complicated way + + 223 + 00:13:27,149 --> 00:13:31,198 + right when new york city launched its + bike-sharing program put up a map it + + 224 + 00:13:31,198 --> 00:13:34,258 + said basically where do you want + + 225 + 00:13:34,259 --> 00:13:38,089 + there to be a bike station and of course + everybody said click I want one right by + + 226 + 00:13:38,089 --> 00:13:40,899 + my home click I want one right by work + + 227 + 00:13:40,899 --> 00:13:45,159 + right now this looks like the possible + problem I just help us identify street + + 228 + 00:13:45,159 --> 00:13:48,118 + corners where the things might work + + 229 + 00:13:48,119 --> 00:13:51,428 + that was the public rationale for + putting up this map we are + + 230 + 00:13:51,428 --> 00:13:54,749 + crowd-sourcing where the bike station + should go + + 231 + 00:13:54,749 --> 00:13:59,269 + the secret rationale was for people log + into the map it own mike got a lot of + + 232 + 00:13:59,269 --> 00:14:02,139 + people are excited about this bike + sharing program + + 233 + 00:14:02,139 --> 00:14:07,188 + right the map didn't just surface + information it legitimate and helped + + 234 + 00:14:07,188 --> 00:14:09,358 + create a constituency for + + 235 + 00:14:09,359 --> 00:14:13,559 + the bike sharing program in the first + place managerial proms are considerably + + 236 + 00:14:13,558 --> 00:14:15,588 + more complicated than technical problems + + 237 + 00:14:15,589 --> 00:14:19,319 + because they require not just the + information they require political will + + 238 + 00:14:19,318 --> 00:14:20,419 + they require + + 239 + 00:14:20,419 --> 00:14:24,099 + communication with the citizens in more + than just email us a picture of a + + 240 + 00:14:24,100 --> 00:14:25,009 + powerful + + 241 + 00:14:25,009 --> 00:14:29,178 + with an attached slatwall and then up + for managerial problems are political + + 242 + 00:14:29,178 --> 00:14:31,600 + props political problems with the + hardball + + 243 + 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:34,980 + political problems where there's + disagreement even inside the government + + 244 + 00:14:34,980 --> 00:14:38,308 + as to what constitutes possible + + 245 + 00:14:38,308 --> 00:14:43,149 + way for is possible to imagine a city + with no piles + + 246 + 00:14:43,149 --> 00:14:46,828 + it is not possible to imagine city with + no prostitutes + + 247 + 00:14:46,828 --> 00:14:52,078 + to the is no way to take on da problem + with prostitution + + 248 + 00:14:52,078 --> 00:14:55,919 + because people don't even agrees to what + the goalie + + 249 + 00:14:55,919 --> 00:14:59,229 + is and I don't just mean as the left + right split + + 250 + 00:14:59,230 --> 00:15:03,589 + thats normal in american politics I mean + even within coalitions right + + 251 + 00:15:03,589 --> 00:15:06,629 + at the extremes to the progressive left + + 252 + 00:15:06,629 --> 00:15:10,480 + there are people who what sex work to + stop and there are people who want sex + + 253 + 00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:11,249 + work to become + + 254 + 00:15:11,249 --> 00:15:15,379 + a better job and there's never going to + be + + 255 + 00:15:15,379 --> 00:15:18,819 + any solution to that problem because the + problem + + 256 + 00:15:18,818 --> 00:15:25,769 + resists easy definition once your up at + the political level + + 257 + 00:15:25,769 --> 00:15:29,318 + you're not dealing with problems anymore + you're dealing with the lemmas + + 258 + 00:15:29,318 --> 00:15:32,808 + and you don't have solutions you only + have trade-offs and you have to + + 259 + 00:15:32,808 --> 00:15:33,789 + understand + + 260 + 00:15:33,789 --> 00:15:36,958 + what the trade-offs or + + 261 + 00:15:36,958 --> 00:15:41,768 + so if people what to distract you + + 262 + 00:15:41,769 --> 00:15:45,589 + as they want to distract you when ever + anybody tries + + 263 + 00:15:45,589 --> 00:15:49,799 + anything new someone will try to + distract + + 264 + 00:15:49,798 --> 00:15:53,970 + easiest way to do that is to intimate + that the problem you're working on is + + 265 + 00:15:53,970 --> 00:15:55,980 + not the real problem + + 266 + 00:15:55,980 --> 00:15:59,609 + if you're working on a technical problem + if you said I just I have to get more + + 267 + 00:15:59,609 --> 00:16:01,350 + information to solve this problem + + 268 + 00:16:01,350 --> 00:16:05,319 + I can come in and say well you working + on potholes what you really need to be + + 269 + 00:16:05,318 --> 00:16:08,088 + working on improving traffic flow + citywide + + 270 + 00:16:08,089 --> 00:16:12,220 + but your little thing isn't gonna thank + and if you're taking on a giant + + 271 + 00:16:12,220 --> 00:16:13,980 + political problem + + 272 + 00:16:13,980 --> 00:16:17,769 + like increase the traffic flow citywide + I can come in if that's totally + + 273 + 00:16:17,769 --> 00:16:20,789 + impractical you should be working on the + part + + 274 + 00:16:20,789 --> 00:16:25,509 + I can always distract you by intimating + that the level you're working at is the + + 275 + 00:16:25,509 --> 00:16:26,499 + wrong + + 276 + 00:16:26,499 --> 00:16:31,540 + level to be working one of the reasons + you have to understand + + 277 + 00:16:31,539 --> 00:16:35,719 + what it is you're trying to do is to + keep from getting distracted with either + + 278 + 00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:38,410 + larger scale or smaller scale problems + + 279 + 00:16:38,409 --> 00:16:41,600 + you also have to understand where you + fit are you just trying to gather + + 280 + 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:42,528 + information + + 281 + 00:16:42,528 --> 00:16:45,668 + are you trying to bridge the gap between + the citizens in the government are you + + 282 + 00:16:45,668 --> 00:16:49,489 + actually trying to hash out some fight + + 283 + 00:16:49,489 --> 00:16:54,389 + inside the government and those laugh + problems the political problem so hard + + 284 + 00:16:54,389 --> 00:16:56,730 + to follow to think that as an example + + 285 + 00:16:56,730 --> 00:17:00,688 + right shared citizen budgeting the + porter Allegri process + + 286 + 00:17:00,688 --> 00:17:03,889 + right has been a Rand and + well-documented + + 287 + 00:17:03,889 --> 00:17:06,959 + and works and has good effect in yet it + spread + + 288 + 00:17:06,959 --> 00:17:11,839 + verrrrry very slowly because anything + that touches the political party the + + 289 + 00:17:11,838 --> 00:17:13,059 + process + + 290 + 00:17:13,059 --> 00:17:18,019 + is really hard to change + + 291 + 00:17:18,019 --> 00:17:21,059 + in all of this matters + + 292 + 00:17:21,059 --> 00:17:24,659 + this sorting out of the helpful from the + corrosive criticism and knowing which + + 293 + 00:17:24,660 --> 00:17:28,380 + level the problem you're trying to take + all + + 294 + 00:17:28,380 --> 00:17:31,520 + because the most important resource + + 295 + 00:17:31,519 --> 00:17:34,759 + you've got is it + + 296 + 00:17:34,759 --> 00:17:39,019 + strategy are you planning your tactics + is not your tools or your technology + + 297 + 00:17:39,019 --> 00:17:44,539 + your project management the most + important resource you've got + + 298 + 00:17:44,539 --> 00:17:48,079 + your own ability to change + + 299 + 00:17:48,079 --> 00:17:52,179 + your mind that's what matters + + 300 + 00:17:52,180 --> 00:17:56,200 + over the long haul so + + 301 + 00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:59,819 + as I was getting on the plane to come + here yesterday I got a funny + + 302 + 00:17:59,819 --> 00:18:03,009 + piece of news WEA the homeless guy + + 303 + 00:18:03,009 --> 00:18:07,180 + with the laptop in the job script books + got arrested yesterday morning + + 304 + 00:18:07,180 --> 00:18:10,529 + and why people do off the bench in took + in downtown + + 305 + 00:18:10,529 --> 00:18:14,490 + arrested him for sleep in the park + because he doesn't have any place to go + + 306 + 00:18:14,490 --> 00:18:16,019 + home + + 307 + 00:18:16,019 --> 00:18:19,109 + and come on shows up to their usual + meeting spot yesterday morning + + 308 + 00:18:19,109 --> 00:18:22,689 + Celia gone sees the coffee cups of + coffee cup kicked over + + 309 + 00:18:22,690 --> 00:18:27,019 + realizes what happened goes to a nearby + traffic upset the guy + + 310 + 00:18:27,019 --> 00:18:30,109 + that sit on a bench right there did you + see where he went traffic up to the I + + 311 + 00:18:30,109 --> 00:18:31,529 + got arrested + + 312 + 00:18:31,529 --> 00:18:35,470 + & Co log goes down 10 + + 313 + 00:18:35,470 --> 00:18:39,299 + and tries to get Leah bailed out of jail + and try to get his laptop which has been + + 314 + 00:18:39,299 --> 00:18:40,480 + confiscated back + + 315 + 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:43,759 + that still going on now there's no + resolution that leo's + + 316 + 00:18:43,759 --> 00:18:46,829 + still incarcerated his laptop is still + + 317 + 00:18:46,829 --> 00:18:50,519 + in police possession but kongers work + + 318 + 00:18:50,519 --> 00:18:55,759 + and this may work right mccormack has an + enormous amount of resources at his + + 319 + 00:18:55,759 --> 00:18:56,879 + disposal + + 320 + 00:18:56,880 --> 00:19:00,540 + I they've got 100 media attention now in + part because the car for further + + 321 + 00:19:00,539 --> 00:19:04,099 + mcconnell kicked off a couple of months + ago + + 322 + 00:19:04,099 --> 00:19:07,179 + two things go well for Leo it's not + going to be because this is a general + + 323 + 00:19:07,180 --> 00:19:09,009 + solution to some sort of + + 324 + 00:19:09,009 --> 00:19:12,710 + problem of homelessness it'll be this + will be a fairy godparents story + + 325 + 00:19:12,710 --> 00:19:16,549 + right because tim allen's point out + fairy godparents downscale + + 326 + 00:19:16,549 --> 00:19:20,069 + but thats that's not I think the + important part of the story the + + 327 + 00:19:20,069 --> 00:19:22,470 + important part of the story is + + 328 + 00:19:22,470 --> 00:19:27,240 + the colon went from being a guy who felt + comfortable characterizing people as the + + 329 + 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:30,000 + justly and unjustly home + + 330 + 00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:34,059 + guy who felt comfortable hawking about + the homeless without even bothering to + + 331 + 00:19:34,059 --> 00:19:35,019 + learn + + 332 + 00:19:35,019 --> 00:19:39,039 + the name of the person he was tired + heater from that guy + + 333 + 00:19:39,039 --> 00:19:43,139 + into a guy who takes time out of a work + day to try and get his friend bailed out + + 334 + 00:19:43,140 --> 00:19:45,009 + of jail I'll tell you as a new yorker + + 335 + 00:19:45,009 --> 00:19:49,240 + nobody voluntarily interacts with the + NYPD + + 336 + 00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:53,210 + right that's a big change + + 337 + 00:19:53,210 --> 00:19:56,529 + and it may not matter in the long term + this may just turn out to be a story + + 338 + 00:19:56,529 --> 00:19:59,960 + that macaan like tells his friends next + time is on the boat about this one time + + 339 + 00:19:59,960 --> 00:20:01,509 + he did this one thing + + 340 + 00:20:01,509 --> 00:20:06,450 + that can certainly happen what is clear + them a common would not have learned + + 341 + 00:20:06,450 --> 00:20:08,750 + what he's learned + + 342 + 00:20:08,750 --> 00:20:12,119 + about the problems with homelessness the + problems the homeless face + + 343 + 00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:15,579 + if it hadn't started out with the wrong + idea + + 344 + 00:20:15,579 --> 00:20:20,710 + and been willing to test it in the world + it's not the people who do nothing + + 345 + 00:20:20,710 --> 00:20:24,500 + who learn new things and that + + 346 + 00:20:24,500 --> 00:20:28,279 + that possibility the possibility of a + learning + + 347 + 00:20:28,279 --> 00:20:32,940 + as you go that's the essential resource + + 348 + 00:20:32,940 --> 00:20:36,730 + in this room government get this wrong + + 349 + 00:20:36,730 --> 00:20:42,110 + all the time government almost designed + to get this wrong government said + + 350 + 00:20:42,109 --> 00:20:45,229 + we had that big project we did all that + planning it didn't go well + + 351 + 00:20:45,230 --> 00:20:49,000 + I know next time we'll just plan harder + + 352 + 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:55,380 + right you can't just plan harder and get + where you need to go you can't + + 353 + 00:20:55,380 --> 00:20:58,920 + get a rocket to the moon by just aiming + better + + 354 + 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:03,640 + at launch you have to start with course + correction + + 355 + 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,920 + the other extreme doesn't work either + the people who say I know will have a + + 356 + 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:07,720 + hackathon + + 357 + 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,839 + unconference in will develop a solution + + 358 + 00:21:10,839 --> 00:21:15,509 + I'm that doesn't work either hackathons + don't + + 359 + 00:21:15,509 --> 00:21:19,440 + come up with solutions pack up and come + up with a kind hand waving national + + 360 + 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,480 + you can do in a day and a half right + + 361 + 00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:26,140 + the output a hackathon isn't + + 362 + 00:21:26,140 --> 00:21:31,150 + a solution output a hacker fight is a + better understanding a problem the + + 363 + 00:21:31,150 --> 00:21:32,340 + product at the hackathon + + 364 + 00:21:32,339 --> 00:21:36,549 + isn't running code it's the social + capital developed + + 365 + 00:21:36,549 --> 00:21:41,389 + among the people in the room + + 366 + 00:21:41,390 --> 00:21:44,400 + so we've all gone school people in my + tribe have all gone to school on the new + + 367 + 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:46,009 + PD a story + + 368 + 00:21:46,009 --> 00:21:50,119 + we all know new PT a failed because they + were so process heavy is anybody's ever + + 369 + 00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:51,819 + been a bureaucracy knows + + 370 + 00:21:51,819 --> 00:21:56,710 + when you have a seven-step process for + developing something as new PD ahead + + 371 + 00:21:56,710 --> 00:22:00,440 + what you have severin different places + where things can grind + + 372 + 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,799 + to complete hot right and we learned + + 373 + 00:22:03,799 --> 00:22:07,779 + that story but there's a deeper story + there + + 374 + 00:22:07,779 --> 00:22:13,250 + right which is this the people who made + new PD a fail + + 375 + 00:22:13,250 --> 00:22:17,500 + with the people who made Wikipedia + succeed + + 376 + 00:22:17,500 --> 00:22:21,650 + when sanger needed people to try out his + wiki he didn't go out to the public + + 377 + 00:22:21,650 --> 00:22:22,100 + Internet + + 378 + 00:22:22,099 --> 00:22:26,490 + say come one come all it's trying to + stay he went to the people who worked + + 379 + 00:22:26,490 --> 00:22:31,549 + with him for nine much trying to build + encyclopedia different way + + 380 + 00:22:31,549 --> 00:22:35,009 + and he relied on those people had a + build up enough trust + + 381 + 00:22:35,009 --> 00:22:38,400 + and enough the sensibility of what their + goal were that they were willing to try + + 382 + 00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:39,170 + something new + + 383 + 00:22:39,170 --> 00:22:42,710 + and he didn't go to them with a big + promise that this weekly thing was gonna + + 384 + 00:22:42,710 --> 00:22:43,569 + be + + 385 + 00:22:43,569 --> 00:22:46,710 + the victory he went to them + + 386 + 00:22:46,710 --> 00:22:50,569 + having hit he went to the very modestly + he said + + 387 + 00:22:50,569 --> 00:22:53,799 + look this may not work humor me + + 388 + 00:22:53,799 --> 00:22:58,059 + go there try it will pick you all up + five minutes + + 389 + 00:22:58,059 --> 00:23:02,740 + the output have new PT it wasn't a + failed encyclopedia dead URL be + + 390 + 00:23:02,740 --> 00:23:08,120 + output have new PT with the people + willing to try something else + + 391 + 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:12,559 + week EP via the most widely used + encyclopedia in the history + + 392 + 00:23:12,559 --> 00:23:16,990 + up the world his plan B + + 393 + 00:23:16,990 --> 00:23:21,400 + that ability the ability to build up + among a group of people + + 394 + 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:26,440 + a set up trust a center focus so that + they can try something new is very + + 395 + 00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,960 + often the critical output + + 396 + 00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:35,819 + that may not be you when you design a + project your plan a may work correct + + 397 + 00:23:35,819 --> 00:23:40,929 + it happen sometimes but it's not the + normal case + + 398 + 00:23:40,930 --> 00:23:44,480 + and as you're setting out to do whatever + it is you want to do or for those of you + + 399 + 00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:47,150 + who have been through this process as + you've done + + 400 + 00:23:47,150 --> 00:23:52,990 + whatever you've done important thing to + recognize is + + 401 + 00:23:52,990 --> 00:23:56,880 + you were building up your own ability + + 402 + 00:23:56,880 --> 00:24:01,050 + to understand the problem whatever else + happens when you set out + + 403 + 00:24:01,049 --> 00:24:04,149 + that's the precious resource while the + best hardware + + 404 + 00:24:04,150 --> 00:24:07,769 + hardware prototype is I've ever known + better data piana tell it came to visit + + 405 + 00:24:07,769 --> 00:24:09,529 + one my class + + 406 + 00:24:09,529 --> 00:24:12,779 + and she said I used to think I would + build the first prototype to show the + + 407 + 00:24:12,779 --> 00:24:14,029 + client + + 408 + 00:24:14,029 --> 00:24:17,829 + a solution to their problems but I've + come to realize that you build the first + + 409 + 00:24:17,829 --> 00:24:18,720 + prototype + + 410 + 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:21,990 + to show the client that they don't yet + understand + + 411 + 00:24:21,990 --> 00:24:27,519 + the problem right very often you don't + get people to even tell you what it is + + 412 + 00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:29,160 + that they need + + 413 + 00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:34,360 + and tell you can show them something + that is concrete Lee wrong + + 414 + 00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:38,169 + that that ability the ability to say + + 415 + 00:24:38,170 --> 00:24:41,110 + we're doing all the planning we can + we're learning everything about the + + 416 + 00:24:41,109 --> 00:24:44,829 + problem we can we're heading off in this + direction + + 417 + 00:24:44,829 --> 00:24:49,059 + is used you have to do that but you also + have to say + + 418 + 00:24:49,059 --> 00:24:52,309 + were also setting out with the sense + that + + 419 + 00:24:52,309 --> 00:24:56,839 + we're the important resource the people + working on this in our ability to learn + + 420 + 00:24:56,839 --> 00:25:00,779 + from this and change our minds + + 421 + 00:25:00,779 --> 00:25:03,950 + is what's gonna make or break this over + the long haul because + + 422 + 00:25:03,950 --> 00:25:08,100 + across the history of large successful + projects + + 423 + 00:25:08,099 --> 00:25:12,159 + almost nothing ended up the way it + started out + + 424 + 00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:15,550 + when you look at the group that made + things work what you see is that it + + 425 + 00:25:15,549 --> 00:25:16,210 + isn't + + 426 + 00:25:16,210 --> 00:25:19,430 + it is how they it is what they did first + + 427 + 00:25:19,430 --> 00:25:23,710 + that mattered was what they did next + + 428 + 00:25:23,710 --> 00:25:25,519 + so thank you all and good luck
2014-02-04 06:32	(unknown)	r41
顯示 diff （5 行未修改）
2014-02-04 05:50 – 06:32	venev	r1 – r40
顯示 diff Untitled + *via TAHR-PAS: 零時政府的第一年總結與展望:"作家 Clay Shirky 在 CfA Summit 會議致詞時說：「黑客松的主要產物，並不是會動的程式，而是參與者之間發展出的人際關係。」" - This pad text is synchronized as you type, so that everyone viewing this page sees the same text. This allows you to collaborate seamlessly on documents! + Youtube 影片 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXQb-yhqktQ + g
2014-02-04 05:49	(unknown)	r0
顯示 diff + Untitled + This pad text is synchronized as you type, so that everyone viewing this page sees the same text. This allows you to collaborate seamlessly on documents!